ПОСЛЕДИЦЕ ИЗРАЕЛСКИХ РАТОВА НА БЛИСКОМ ИСТОКУ ОД 2023. ДО ДАНАС
Слободан Јанковић
Отвори публикацијуThe Paper aims to apply the theory of democratic peace to the context of regional peace and security in the Western Balkans, using both its internal and external components. Due to the importance of regional Democratisation for regional positive peace, as the theory would suggest, the recent democratic backsliding could negatively affect it. We provide a testing and adaptation of the famous theory and its recent adaptations and emerging corollaries, and produce a comparative regional empirical analysis. After an overview of the democratic situation and an analysis of regional relations in the context of regional EU accession and the nominal role of the EU as a regional stabiliser or democratiser, we examine the implications for the region based on the theoretical insight and expectations. We found that there is a link between internal democratic practice and regional stability, as internal democratic issues led to deterioration of bilateral and multilateral cooperation, as well as to a slowing down of the EU accession process, which is meant to contribute to peace in the region. We proposed that regional peace depends in many ways upon the continuation of Democratisation in each regional state, which would contribute to regional pacification without direct external effort. The results indicate that democratic backsliding would hurt regional peace and security, and vice versa, putting a normative emphasis on the continuation of regional Democratisation.